Уильям Истерли - В Поисках Роста

• Название: В Поисках Роста
• Автор: Уильям Истерли
• Жанр: Публицистика

Экономический рост — благо для страны, так как он улучшает жизнь простых людей. Но почему одни страны растут быстрее, чем другие? Почему попытки международных организаций и развитых стран стимулировать рост в бедных странах далеко не всегда приводили к успеху? Какие ошибки совершают политики и о чем следует помнить в будущем? Книга, которую вы держите в руках — не учебник по теориям экономического роста. Она скорее представляет собой путеводитель по тем дорогам, которыми шли экономисты в попытках сделать бедные страны богатыми. Поэтому она может быть интересна не только экономистам и политикам, но и всем, кто не оставил надежды понять, где он - путь в экономическое процветание.

---

Mulligan, Casey В., and Xavier Sala-i-Martin. 1993. «Transitional Dynamics in Two-Sector Models of Endogenous Growth». Quarterly Journal ofEconomics 108 (August):

739-773.

Murphy, Kevin M., Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny. 1989. «Industrialization and the Big Push». Journal ofPolitical Economy 97, no. 5 (October): 1003-1026.

Murphy, Kevin M., Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny. 1991. «The Allocation of Tal­ent: Implications for Growth». Quarterly Journal ofEconomics 106, no. 2 (May): 503-530.

Nafziger, E. Wayne. 1993. The Debt Crisis in Africa. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

Narayan, Deepa, Robert Chambers, Meera Shah, and Patti Petesch. 2000a. Crying out for Change: Voices of the Poor. Vol. 2. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Narayan, Deepa, with Raj Patel, Kai Schafft, Anne Rademacher, and Sarah Koch-Schulte. 2000b. Can Anyone Hear Us? Voices from 47 Countries. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Nelson, Richard R. 1956. «А Theory of the Low-Level Equilibrium Trap in Under­developed Economies,» American Economic Review 46, no. 5 (December): 894-908.

Nordhaus, William. 1994, «Do Real Output and Real Wage Measures Capture Reali­ty? The History of Lighting Suggests Not». Yale Cowles Foundation discus­sion paper: 1078, September.

Obstfeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff. 1996. Foundations of International Macro­economics. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.

Ogaki, Masao, Jonathan D. Ostry, and Carmen M. Reinhart. 1995. «Saving Behavior in Low- and Middle-Income Developing Countries: A Comparison). IMF Wor­king Paper WP/95/3.

Pack, Howard, and John M. Page, Jr. 1994. «Accumulation, Exports, and Growth in the High-Performing Asian Economies). Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 40 (June): 199-250.

Parfitt, Trevor W., and Stephen P. Riley. 1989. The African Debt Crisis. London: Routledge.

Patel, Surendra J. 1968. «А Note on the Incremental Capital Output Ratio and Rates of Economic Growth in the Developing Countries). Kyklos 21: 147-150.

Patrinos, Harry. 1997. «Differences in Education and Earnings across Ethnic Groups in Guatemala). Quarterly Review ofEconomics and Finance 37 (Fall): 809-821.

Perotti, Roberto. 1996. «Growth, Income Distribution, and Democracy: What the Data Say). Journal ofEconomic Growth 1, no. 2 (June): 149-187.

Persson, Torsten, and Guido Tabellini. 1994. «Is Inequality Harmful for Growth?) Ame­rican Economic Review 84, no. 3 (June): 600-621.

Peters, Thomas J., and Robert H. Waterman, Jr. 1982. In Search of Excellence: Lessons from America’s Best-run Companies. New York: Harper and Row.

Population Action International. 1995. Reproductive Risk: A Worldwide Assess­ment of Women’s Sexual and Maternal Health. Washington, D.C.: Population Ac­tion International.

Poterba, J. 1998. «Demographic Structure and the Political Economy of Public Education). National Bureau of Economic Research working paper 5677, July.

Pritchett, Lant. 1994. «Desired Fertility and the Impact of Population Policies). Population and Development Review 20, no. 1 (March): 1-56.

Pritchett, Lant. 1997a. «Where Has All the Education Gone?) World Bank poli­cy research working paper 1581, June.

Pritchett, Lant. 1997b. «Divergence, Big Time). Journal ofEconomic Perspectives 11, no. 3 (summer): 3-17.

Pritchett, Lant. 1999. «The Tyranny of Concepts: Cumulative Depreciated Invest­ment Effort (CUDIE) Is Not the Same as Capital Accumulation). Mimeo. World

Bank.

Pritchett, Lant, and Deon Filmer. 1999. «What Educational Production Func­tions Really Show: A Positive Theory of Education Spending). Economics ofEduca-

tion Review 18, no. 2 (April): 223-239.

Przeworski, Adam, and James Vreeland. 2000. «The Effect of IMF Programs on Eco­nomic Growth). Journal ofDevelopmentEconomics, 62, Issue 2 (August): 385-421.

Psacharopoulos, George. 1994. «Returns to Investment in Education: A Glo­bal Update). World Development 22: 1325-1343.

Pscacharopoulos, George, and Harry Anthony Patrinos, eds. 1994. Indigenous Peo­ple and Poverty in Latin America: An Empirical Analysis. World Bank Regional and Sectoral Study. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Rauch, James E. 1993. «Productivity Gains from Geographic Concentration of Human Capital: Evidence from the Cities». Journal ofUrban Economics 34:380-400.

Ravallion, Martin. 1997. «А Comment on Rati Ram’s Test of the Kuznets Hypothe-sis». Economic Development and Cultural Change 46 (October): 187-190.

Ravallion, Martin, and Shaohua Chen. 1997. «Distribution and Poverty in Develo­ping and Transition Economies: New Data on Spells During 1981-93». World Bank Economic Review 11 (May).

Ray, Debraj. 1998. Development Economics. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Rebelo, Sergio. 1991. «Long Run Policy Analysis and Long Run Growth». Journal of Political Economy 99: 500-521.

Rebelo, Sergio, and Nancy L. Stokey. 1995. «Growth Effects of Flat-Rate Taxes». Journal of Political Economy 103, no. 3 (June): 519-550.

Red Cross, 1995. World Disasters Report. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Nijhoff.

Reinikka, Ritva, and Jakob Svensson. 1999. «How Inadequate Provision of Public Infrastructure and Services Affects Private Investment». World Bank working paper 2262, December.

Reno, William. 1995. Corruption and State Politics in Sierra Leone. Cambridge: Cam­bridge University Press.

Rescher, Nicholas. 1995. Luck: The Brilliant Randomness of Everyday Life. New York: Far-rar Straus Giroux.

Rhee, Yung Whee, and Therese Belot. 1990. «Export Catalysts in Low-Income Countries: A Review of Eleven Success Stories». World Bank discussion paper 72.

Rimmer, Douglas. 1992. Staying Poor: Ghana’s Political Economy, 1950-1990. New York: Oxford University Press.

Rodriguez, Francisco, and Dani Rodrik. 2000. «Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic’s Guide to the Cross-National Evidence». In NBER Macroeconomics Annual

2000. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.

Rodrik, Dani. 1995a. «Getting Interventions Right: How South Korea and Taiwan Grew Rich». Economic Policy 20 (April): 55-107.

Rodrik, Dani. 1995b. «Trade Strategy, Investment, and Exports: Another Look at East Asia». National Bureau of Economic Research, working paper 5339, No­vember.

Romer, Paul. 1986. «Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth». Journal ofPolitical

Economy 94, no. 5 (October): 1002-1037.

Romer, Paul. 1987. «Crazy Explanations for the Productivity Slowdown». In S. Fischer, ed., NBER Macroeconomics Annual Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.

Romer, Paul. 1990. «Endogenous Technological Change». Journal ofPolitical Economy 98, no. 5, part 2 (October): 71-102.

Romer, Paul M. 1992. «Growth Based on Increasing Returns Due to Specializations. In Kevin D. Hoover, ed., The New Classical Macroeconomics. Vol 3. Aldershot, U.K.: Elgar.

Romer, Paul. 1993. «Idea Gaps and Object Gaps in Economic Developments. Journal of Monetary Economics 32, no. 3 (December): 543-574.

Romer, Paul. 1994. «The Origins of Endogenous Growths. Journal of Economic Perspectives 8, no. 1 (winter): 3-22.

Romer, Paul. 1995. Comment on N. Gregory Mankiw, «The Growth of Nations».

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1:313-320.

Rooney, David. 1988. Kwame Nkrumah: The Political Kingdom in the Third World. London: IB Tauris and Co.

Rorabaugh, W. J. 1981. The Alcoholic Republic, an American Tradition. New York: Oxford Uni­versity Press.

Rose-Ackerman, Susan. 1997a. «The Political Economy of Corruptions. In Kimberly Ann Elliot, ed., Corruption and the Gbbal Economy. Washington, D.C.: Institute for Inter­national Economics.

Rose-Ackerman, Susan. 1997b. «The Costs and Causes of Corruptions. Prepared for a panel discussion on corruption, IMF, Washington, D.C., April 3.

Rose-Ackerman, Susan, and Jacqueline Coolidge. 2000. «Kleptocracy and Reform in Af­rican Regimes)). In Corruption and Development in Africa: Lessons from Country Case Studies, ed. Bornwell C. Chikulo and Kempe Ronald Hope, Sr. New York: St. Martin’s Press.

Rostow, W. W. 1960. The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto. Cambridge UK: University Press.

Roubini, Nouriel, and Xavier Sala-i-Martin. 1992. «Financial Repression and Economic Growths. Journal of Development Economics 39, no. 1 (July): 5-30.

Roubini, Nouriel, and Paul Wachtel. 1998. «Current Account Sustainability in Transi­tion Economiess. National Bureau of Economic Research working paper 6468.

Sachs Jeffrey, and Andrew Warner. 1995. «Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integrations. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1:1-117.

Sargent, Thomas J., and Neil Wallace. 1985. «Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetics. Quarterly Review/Federal Reserve Bank ofMinneapolis (U.S.) 9 (winter): 15-31.

Schadler, Susan, et al. 1995. «IMF Conditionality: Experience Under Stand-by and Ex­tended Arrangements^ IMF occasional paper 128, September.

Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, and Luis Serven. 1997. «Saving Across the World: Puzzles and Policiess. World Bank discussion paper 354.

Schumpeter, Joseph. Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy. New York: Harper. (Originally published 1942.)

Seers, Dudley, and C. R. Ross. 1952. Report on Financial and Physical Problems of Development in the Gold Coast. Accra: Office of the Government Statistician. Shleifer, Andrei, and Robert Vishny. 1993. «Corruptions. Quarterly Journal of Economics 108

(August): 599-617.

Simon, Julian, ed. 1995. The State ofHumanity. Oxford: Blackwell.

Slemrod, Joel. 1995. «Do Cross-Country Studies Teach About Government Involve­ment, Prosperity, and Economic Growth?) Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 10,

no. 2: 373-415.

Solow, Robert M. 1957. «Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function).

Review ofEconomics and Statistics 39: 312-320. Solow, Robert M. 1987. Growth Theory: An Exposition. New York: Oxford University Press.

(Originally published 1970). Stremlau, John. 1996. «Dateline Bangalore: Third World Technopolis). Foreign Policy

(Spring): 152-168.

Summers, Robert, and Alan Heston. 1991. «The Perm World Table (Mark 5): An Expanded Set of International Comparisons, 1950-1988). Quarterly Journal ofEconomics

106, no. 2 (May): 327-368.

Svensson, Jakob. 1997. «When Is Foreign Aid Policy Credible? Aid Dependence and Con-

ditionality). World Bank working paper 1740, March. Svensson, Jakob. 1998. «Reforming Donor Institutions: Aid Tournaments). Mimeo.

World Bank, April.

Svensson, Jakob. 2000. «Foreign Aid and Rent-Seeking). Journal of International Economics

51, no. 2 (August): 437-461. Talbot, Ian. 1998. Pakistan: A Modern History. New York: St. Martin’s Press. Theobald, Robin. 1990. Corruption, Development, and Underdevelopmen. Durham, N.C.:

Duke University Press. Thorp, Willard. 1956. «American Policy and the Soviet Economic Offensive). Foreign

Affairs (October).

Todaro, Michael P. 2000. Economic Development. 7th ed. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wes-ley.

Trainer, Ted. 1989. Developed to Death. London: Green Print.

Tremblay, Helene, and Pat Capon. 1988. Families of the World: Family Life at the Close of the

Twentieth Century. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. UN AIDS. 1999. AIDS Epidemic Update. December. UNICEF. Various years. Progress of Nations. New York. UNICEF. Various years. State of the World’s Children. New York. Union Bank of Switzerland. 1994. Prices and Earnings Around the Gbbe. Geneva. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. 1967. The Terms, Quality,

and Effectiveness of Financial Flows and Problems of Debt Servicing. Report TD/B/C.3/35,

February 2.

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. 1983. Review of Arrange­ments Concerning Debt Problems of Developing Countries Pursuant to Board Resolution 222 (XXI), Paragraph 15. Report TD/B/945, March 23.

United Nations Development Program. Various years. Human Development Report.

United Nations Industrial Development Organization. Industrial Statistics, Various Years.

United Nations. 1996. World Economic and Social Survey.

United States Agency for International Development, Office of U.S. Foreign Di­saster Assistance (OFDA). 2000, OFDA Reports Index, Washington, D.C.

United States Census Bureau, City and County Databook, Various Years. United States Statistical Abstract, 1995, Washington, D.C.

Van Wijnbergen, Sweder, Ritu Anand, Ajay Chhibber, and Roberto Rocha. 1992, External Debt, Fiscal Policy, and Sustainable Growth in Turkey. Baltimore: Johns Hop­kins University Press.

Vanek, J., and A. H. Studenmund. 1968. «Towards a Better Understanding of the Incremental Capital-Output Ratio». Quarterly Journal of Economics (August): 452-464.

Verspoor, Adriaan. 1990. «Educational Development: Priorities for the Nineties». Finance and Development 27 (March): 20-23.

Wachtel, PaulL. 1983. The Poverty ofAffluence: A Psychological Portrait ofthe American Way of Life. New York: Free Press.

Wade, Robert. 1982. «The System of Administrative and political corruption: canal irrigation in South India». Journal of Development Studies 18, no. 3 (April): 287-328.

Wade, Robert. 1989. «Politics and Graft: Recruitment, Appointment, and Pro­motions to Public Office in India». In Peter M. Ward, ed., Corruption, Develop­ment, and Inequality: Soft Touch or Hard Graft. London: Routledge.